ACUS11 KWNS 062345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062345=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-070115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1161
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...Parts of eastern CO/western KS/northeast NM into
the TX/OK Panhandles

Concerning...Tornado Watch 378...379...

Valid 062345Z - 070115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 378, 379 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells with a tornado and very large hail threat will
continue this evening, with some increase in severe-wind potential
possible with time.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening
from southeast/east-central CO into the OK Panhandle, within a
moderately unstable and favorably sheared environment. MRMS data
suggest the southern most cells may be producing very large hail,
and a threat for baseball-size (or larger hail) will likely continue
as these cells move southeastward this evening.=20

A weak surface boundary extends from southwest OK westward into the
TX Panhandle, and then northwestward toward the Raton Mesa vicinity.
Backed surface winds and richer low-level moisture near/north of
this boundary could support locally greater tornado potential with
the ongoing supercells in this area and any additional development
this evening.=20

Farther north, a cluster of supercells over east-central CO is
approaching northwest KS. This cluster may continue southeastward
this evening with some potential for all severe hazards. Some
organized severe potential will likely spread into parts of western
KS with time, where downstream watch issuance will likely be needed.

..Dean/Gleason.. 06/06/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9B2TF4IbJjdCdtnAh_V2qoQbfQ4w0s9cU7iYifWg4sSGFrMg25s0qXWJZlAvpWtdOHjAmE8fA= H-npWFrMtxYfG-SFS4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON 37960447 39280303 39460242 39480196 39300150 38780107
37900077 37120044 36390007 36230007 36020004 35800008
35480062 35350110 35340243 35580304 36300397 36870411
37510440 37960447=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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