ACUS11 KWNS 070627
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070627=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-070800-

Mesoscale Discussion 1169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0127 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Areas affected...the eastern Texas Panhandle and much of Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 380...382...

Valid 070627Z - 070800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 380, 382 continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and severe wind gusts continues
this morning. Some tornado threat also exists.

DISCUSSION...Storms across central Oklahoma have mostly weakened
over the past hour with focus primarily shifting to the
strengthening squall line across northwest Oklahoma and into the
Texas Panhandle. Storms within this line have remained somewhat
supercellular thus far, likely due to the strong shear present
across the region. A more linear segment exists across northern
Oklahoma and southern Kansas which emanated from collapsing
supercells earlier. Even within this linear segment, a focused zone
of significant wind threat persists near a collapsing supercell
within this line. Expect a similar threat farther southwest along
this line where a few strong supercells are present. In fact,
reflectivity from the KAMA WSR-88D suggest a similar transformation
may be ongoing across Roberts and Hemphill counties. This region
will be monitored for a potential secondary zone of a significant
wind swath.=20

Strong low-level shear and strong instability ahead of this line of
storms will support some tornado threat through the overnight
period. Especially where orientation within the line becomes more
normal to the low-level shear vector.

..Bentley.. 06/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9OE5lD3S-XXcbIlu9LniIblz5eiO0XXT3n8mQgoWGkdwn1edcJ8DAoQ8aX1DwieYPQqp75b1Q= PjUs73h-laUOAIYhL8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...AMA...

LAT...LON 36989883 37009767 36989685 36889608 36409563 35479557
34669580 34539621 34659739 34719842 34829978 35170067
35500142 35810157 36150155 36989883=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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