ACUS11 KWNS 070653
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070653=20
TXZ000-070830-

Mesoscale Discussion 1170
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Areas affected...portions of West Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 070653Z - 070830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...The large hail threat will persist for a few more hours
early this morning across parts of West Texas.

DISCUSSION...Supercells have persisted for several hours across
parts of West Texas, near the nose of a 35 to 40 knot low level jet
(as sampled by the KLBB VWP). As long as this low-level jet is
maintained across the region, expect some supercell threat to
persist given the moderate instability and strong shear in place.
These supercells are clearly elevated with a primary threat of large
hail and perhaps a few severe wind gusts. No watch is anticipated
given the relatively confined areal threat.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_Y42GjWN2fRekTW-2u14MufaUGnTjdqbZW_retdM11g1kFJ4O2irMKBSjld9bBAQTLaZMIHqE= kjYSG9tLk1pnHUa1EE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...

LAT...LON 34260293 34270197 34220065 33780031 33550038 33490064
33640162 33750232 33920289 34180295 34260293=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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